Callisto

I have a feeling that I won't like this mode. Just a hunch. At least the units I gave blessings to, I really enjoy using, and they mesh well together because they're all on my Arena team. Hopefully this mode is good, I have slim hopes that this mode will somehow involve friends, I really want a mode where you can really use your friends' units, instead of VG, where you can barely use them.

I must say, I really didn't like Lyn's artwork upon first glance, but after looking at it over a few times, I really like her art, kinda makes me want to pull for her. Also, Hector looks great, and I love that he just has Armads

I hope and pray that these aren't Fates/Awakening Seasonals. The only seasonal from those two games that I actually want is Cherche and I feel that the chances of her getting one are quite slim.

I pulled the 10th one mere minutes ago: here she is:

Part of me hopes that if Vanguard Ike wins, that IS will feel pressured to give us Gunnthra for free too. I mean the likelihood of this actually happening is shockingly small, but I can hope!

Oh wow, SS Selena is #5??? There's hope yet for her to appear as a GHB!

It would be wise to vote for a limited or rare character..... but screw it, I'm just voting for my fav, Cordelia, 11 times, because I need more merges

It seems my excitement for Legendary Banners is decreasing exponentially. I feel absolutely zero hype for this banner and won't spend a single orb on it. Honestly I just can't believe that I dont want a single one of these characters, I felt like it would be almost impossible for them to not pick at least one character that I wanted. Hopefully we will get some more banners soon, I'm anxious to pull on something.

Yeah, it's a shame the Legendary Banners are so lackluster for pulling individual heroes. They aren't so bad if you want all three characters of the same color, or just wanr 5 stars and dont care who they are, but otherwise they're just not worth pulling on.

The charts on the right do not account for resetting odds. I've done calculations on what the mean pity rate is over time (I found it to be around 3.57%), but that only holds true over truly massive amounts of orbs, not with smaller, more normal amounts of orbs, since with orb sessions of 200 or so, it's literally impossible to reach really high pity rates. For those formulas on the right, I just assume that the pity rate is 3% on every single pull, so those odds on the right slightly underestimate your chances (which I find more preferable to overestimation, which might get some people's hopes too high.) I have considered doing calculations on what the mean pity rate is over 50 orb/100 orb/200 orb ect. sessions, but I do not think that doing that would change the odds by more than 1 or 2 percentage points, so I don't think it's worth it. Maybe some day I'll get the motivation to do it though, lol.

I've seen a few people from time to time ask things on Discord about summoning odds of certain heroes on different banners. Because of that, I thought I would go ahead and put my improved Appearance Rate Chart in a publicly accessible place. This chart will be updated with each new banner as soon as conveniently possible for me. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1o6VgA-f40K9Rc1xAtAf1JSgvuxdGGpy7MGPujR_9xnk/edit#gid=1084666508 The Yellow section of my chart is broken down by pity rate, so to find calculations relevant to your current situation, just line up the pity rate, and whatever row you're looking at. I'm sorry that my calculations do not go above 4%, I may one day expand it to 5%, but for the foreseeable future, to keep things small and concise, I won't be adding any higher pity rate calculations. Here's a breakdown of what each different category means on my chart: "Odds of summoning a focus unit on their corresponding color" This is the odds of summoning a focus unit on a single orb of their color. Example: With a 3.25% pity rate, the odds of one Green orb on the Sacred Memories banner containing Myrrh is 5.75% "Odds of an Orb being" This area tells you the odds of an orb appearing as a certain color on your summoning session. Example: On the Sacred Memories banner, with a 3% pity rate, an orb has a 30.25% chance of being Red. "5 Star Appearance Rate" This area tells you the odds of obtaining ANY 5* unit when summoning on the corresponding color. Example: On the Sacred Memories banner, when choosing a Red orb with a 3% pity rate, that one particular Red orb has a 6.84% chance of being ANY 5* unit The Areas "4 Star Appearance Rate" and "3 Star Appearance Rate" work in exactly the same way. "Appearance Rate of Individual Heroes" This is one of the most complex areas of the sheet, but is also the most useful. This area allows you to figure out the summoning odds of any summonable unit in one pull of their particular color. To use this area of the sheet, first, pick the banner you plan on summoning on, then just pick a summonable unit, let's use Lilina for instance. To find the odds of Summoning Lilina, merely find the row that matches her color and rarity: "Red 5-4 Star", and then pick your pity rate; let's use 3.75%. According to the sheet, when summoning on the Sacred Memories Banner with a 3.75% pity rate, a Red Orb has a 2.04% chance of being Lilina. The Blue Section of the sheet to the right works slightly different, it approximates your odds of pulling a particular focus unit in a particular number of orbs, when sniping for that unit. For Example, your odds of summoning L'Arachel on the Sacred Memories Banner with 200 orbs (approximately 40 pulls), is 76.31% If any of you would like to see what goes on behind the scenes or would like to check my math, just let me know and I'll PM you a copy of the sheet. If you happen to find anything incorrect with my sheet, please tell me! Good Luck Summoning!

I'm of the opinion that Armads doesn't really need an upgrade because Hector is still super useful, but I totally agree that it would be weird if he was the only one without one. Regardless, I hope he's the last one to get one.

I wonder if we will ever get that Sieglinde upgrade. The new Eirika alt makes me feel like we might not ever see it :'(

I have a hunch that Hinoka's Spear might be an upgraded Brave Lance, as that's what her original weapon is. Hinoka's Spear in Fates is nothing special, and it's effect that is provided in Fates is something that is not easily replicable in Heroes, as the only benefit it provides is +10 Avo. This all leads me to believe that we might see an Amiti-like Hinoka's Spear for Hinoka, but tbh, the fact that Hinoka's Spear is also refinable, makes me doubt that this will actually be what Hinoka's Spear is. I'm still hopeful though!

The following Heroes will get character exclusive weapons: Caeda: Wing Sword Hinoka: Hinoka's Spear Raven: Basilikos Felicia: Felicia's Plate The following Weapons will now be able to be strengthened in the Weapon Refinery: Eckesachs: Zephiel's Weapon All Falchions. Falchion upgrades are divided into three groups, 1st Group is just Normal Marth, 2nd Group is Lucina, Chrom and Masked Marth, 3rd Group is Alm. The four new character exclusive weapons previously mentioned will also be refinable. Which upgrades are you guys excited for? Tbh I think I'm most excited for Caeda's Wing Sword, as I use her a lot on my second flier team and I hope it improves her a considerable amount. Marth's Falchion is another upgrade I'm looking forward to, as he was my first 5* unit and I used him a lot early game but now he just kinda collects dust as he's overshadowed by many other swords.

Yeah I know, I've delved into the numbers deeper to figure out what the actual cost of obtaining the color orb that you want when sniping, and I know that the high rate of Green is offset by the high orb cost per green orb. 1 Green orb on average costs 6.56 orbs, which is super high when compared to the other colors. With 50 orbs, you have about a 38.7% chance of pulling Myrrh if you snipe Green.

Those Myrrh odds, combined with the fact that she's also a flier, have me tempted to pull on this banner, however I just can't with potential Elincia banners coming. The percentages for focus units are: Each Green orb has a 5.32% of being Myrrh 3.31% for Eirika with Red, and 3.85% for L'Arachel with Blue.

There are 8 Heroes that appear on the homepage of the new CYL site that aren't in the game yet: Aversa, Inigo, Owain, Leif, Nanna, Myrrh, Marisa, and Valbar. I think IS is dropping hints as to who will be appearing next in the game, Aversa as a GHB alongside an Awakening children banner with Owain and Inigo, Marisa and Myrrh on the upcoming new heroes banner, and Leif and Nanna as a FE5 banner. The only hero that doesn't really fit in is Valbar, but maybe we will get more Echoes heroes or he will be a one off TT reward? Just pure speculation here.

They might be nice and do what they did for the NY TT, have the reward hero be the other 40%

Looks like Marisa is finally getting added to Heroes.... Hopefully they add some of my Sacred Stones favs like Garcia and Tethys, another dancer in this game would be nice. Myrrh would also be a nice addition if she's a Green Dragon, kinda sad that Fae is the only Green dragon right now.

One of my more recent projects was this Titania: She's +Atk -Res and does a pretty good job of killing Armors in AA. That's all I really use her for, but I might start merging her eventually because Titania is kinda growing on me But my current big project is this Cherche: I only need one more and then she's done!

I like the general idea of this banner, and it provides great odds for the 4* focus units. 11.84% for Klein is quite amazing considering how much good fodder he has. Hinata also has quite a good rate of 12.87%. I hope they do more banners like this, and hopefully they'll include a good mix of units.

Oh hey Arc, you're welcome. I'm pulling only Red on this banner, nothing else. I want Celica but Ike and Ayra would be nice too.

Distant Defense 3. That's the one skill I'll be prioritizing.

Really, what I want to start doing with my feathers if i can get a good plan laid out is to start building tons of fliers. I already have 3 really good flying units, and I want to get to 8, and be able to run two different flier emblem teams.