James Marshall Posted September 7, 2020 Share Posted September 7, 2020 My little brother claims to be testing A Fire Emblem Game made by a friend of his and has a question. Can you answer? What are the odds of his Fighter Class Character gaining +1 each in Skill, Spd and Def 4 levels up in a row despite all 3 stats only having A Growth Rate of 40% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Integrity Posted September 7, 2020 Share Posted September 7, 2020 i'm pretty positive this is the wrong board for this but fuck it, it's a one-and-done question the chances of leveling up all three in a single level are .4^3 = 6.4% the chances of leveling up all three in four consecutive levels is 0.064^4 = about 0.002%, or one in fifty thousand four-level sequences would be expected to have this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benice Posted September 7, 2020 Share Posted September 7, 2020 (edited) I could be mistaken, as math ain't a strong point for me, but I believe that it would have rougly a 0.00001677721% chance of happening? (1.6777216 × 10^−5.) Jeez, I really oughta get studying before school starts, I shouldn't find this difficult... Edited September 7, 2020 by Benice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Integrity Posted September 7, 2020 Share Posted September 7, 2020 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Benice said: I could be mistaken, as math ain't a strong point for me, but I believe that it would have rougly a 0.00001677721% chance of happening? (1.6777216 × 10^−5.) Jeez, I really oughta get studying before school starts, I shouldn't find this difficult... that's the same answer as i outlined right above you, except you forgot to adjust the decimal two places left when you slapped the % sign on EDIT: i also rounded to one sigfig since i figured someone asking 'what are the odds' doesn't care about mathematical rigor too much Edited September 7, 2020 by Integrity Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benice Posted September 7, 2020 Share Posted September 7, 2020 1 minute ago, Integrity said: that's the same answer as i outlined right above you, except you forgot to adjust the decimal two places left when you slapped the % sign on Still, not bad considering this is my first time dusting off my brain cells in about four months... 5 minutes ago, Integrity said: EDIT: i also rounded to one sigfig since i figured someone asking 'what are the odds' doesn't care about mathematical rigor too much Yeah, I probably should have done that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Integrity Posted September 7, 2020 Share Posted September 7, 2020 now that you've quoted it i realized by left i meant right lmao Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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