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December 2020 New Heroes Speculation


Fabulously Olivier
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December 2020 New Heroes  

20 members have voted

  1. 1. What game are you predicting the banner to be based on?

    • Shadow Dragon/New Mystery
      0
    • Gaiden/SoV
      6
    • Geneology of the Holy War
      3
    • Thracia 776
      1
    • Binding Blade
      0
    • Blazing Sword
      0
    • Sacred Stones
      6
    • Path of Radiance/Radiant Dawn
      0
    • Awakening
      0
    • Fates
      0
    • Three Houses
      1
    • Warriors
      0
    • Tokyo Mirage Sessions
      0
    • Cipher
      0
    • FEH Original
      2
    • Multiple games/themed
      1
    • Crossover
      0
  2. 2. What game would you want it to be for?

    • Shadow Dragon/New Mystery
      0
    • Gaiden/SoV
      1
    • Geneology of the Holy War
      4
    • Thracia 776
      2
    • Binding Blade
      0
    • Blazing Sword
      1
    • Sacred Stones
      0
    • Path of Radiance/Radiant Dawn
      2
    • Awakening
      1
    • Fates
      1
    • Three Houses
      1
    • Warriors
      0
    • Tokyo Mirage Sessions
      2
    • Cipher
      2
    • FEH Original
      3
    • Multiple games/themed
      0
    • Crossover
      0

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  • Poll closed on 12/04/2020 at 01:42 AM

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It's the start of a new book, and we don't have a BHB on the calendar for predicting this one. So wildly guess away!

 

 

As with November, I've added crossovers as a choice. Though honestly, I think that would work better as Special Heroes because they would likely need to renogotiate for any reruns, and it makes little sense to have non-FE characters in the permanent pool.

Edited by Fabulously Olivier
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I don't think this will be the start of Book 5, most likely it'll be another Xenologue. 

I'm fine with any game as long as the banner doesn't have a dancer. Did no one else have an annoying question mark for the longest time because they never saw a Lalum?

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I'm guessing Shadows of Valentia. If they plan on introducing the Book 5 OC on the banner itself again I would rather have them slip one into a Valentia banner instead of Sacred Stones since Valentia has most of their cast already in the game. I could see the banner being Luthier, Tatiana, Zeke and the Book 5 OC with Fernand or Nuibaba being the GHB unit.

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1 minute ago, NSSKG151 said:

I'm guessing Shadows of Valentia. If they plan on introducing the Book 5 OC on the banner itself again I would rather have them slip one into a Valentia banner instead of Sacred Stones since Valentia has most of their cast already in the game. I could see the banner being Luthier, Tatiana, Zeke and the Book 5 OC with Fernand or Nuibaba being the GHB unit.

When they slip OCs in, we get a compensatory non banner unit (see Emmeryn with Mirabiis and Tanya with Peony).

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Thracia is on the verge of its second twelve-month drought of no new characters whatsoever. (No other mainline game suffers this indignity, of course). If this banner features the book 5 freebie OC, it may be in with a shot.

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4 hours ago, Baldrick said:

Thracia is on the verge of its second twelve-month drought of no new characters whatsoever. (No other mainline game suffers this indignity, of course). If this banner features the book 5 freebie OC, it may be in with a shot.

Mmm I am not sure if that banner will introduce a OC in the sense like before. I could imagine them giving out 3 new unmergeble "Askrs" so new players have none outdated units to start. My guess is Book 5 will be about Bruno and Veronica (at least thats what i hope). I could see them hand out  Bruno (Blue Tome Cav), Veronica (Green Tome infantry) and the Summoner with a new customisable feature to alter his appearance and movement type (Red Tome/Gun, movement type depends on the player) as free units that are unmergeable.

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1 hour ago, Rinco said:

Crackpot theory, but what if the units on the book 5 banner are the same unit types on the map with Loki (13-5)? 

Red dagger infantry, blue tome cavalry, axe cavalry, and colorless bow infantry? It's possible, could work for FE8 in the form of a Colm/Selena/Duessel/Neimi lineup. I doubt it's intentional foreshadowing, though, it seems like more of a callback to 1-1. (Same map with Loki, red dagger infantry, and axe cav, but no tome cav or archer.)

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7 minutes ago, Etrurian emperor said:

I'm rooting for Santa Raphael and Christmas Elf Ignatz.  

You're thinking of the Special Heroes banner expected later in the month for Christmas, this is about the New Heroes banner at the start of the month.

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Since Book IV is now officially done, here's what the top ten (just five for TMS) missing characters for each game by total CYL vote totals (with the rank and vote total from 4 on the left if you'd rather use that as a metric plus it makes it easy to identify characters who are being hard carried by a previous CYL(s):

Shadow Dragon, New Mystery of the Emblem

Spoiler

1. Anna: 4,969 / 225th, 650
2. Nyna: 3,780 / 191st, 792
3. Wolf: 3,413 / 233rd, 610
4. Elice: 2,753 / 224th, 659
5. Hardin [1, 11]: 2,149 / 262nd, 516 (rank, total shared with Emperor Hardin)
6. Etzel: 1,858 / 357th, 297
7. Malice: 1,771 / 348th, 320
8. Lorenz: 1,624 / 350th, 316
9. Medeus: 1,553 / 295th, 429
10. Vyland: 1,438 / 439th, 176

Shadows of Valentia

Spoiler

1. Tatiana: 3,842 / 155th, 983
2. Luthier: 3,837 / 135th, 1,121
3. Zeke: 2,799 / 284th, 466
4. Fernand: 1,918 / 255th, 540
5. Hestia: 1,617 / 344th, 331
6. Kamui: 1,512 / 311th, 401
7. Atlas: 1,403 / 356th, 298
8. Deen: 1,380 / 331st, 354
9. Mycen: 1,040 / 410th, 214
10. Nuibaba: 861 / 436th, 179

*Brigand Boss (2,945 votes / 223rd, 660) was thrown out because adding him would be 100 times stupider than Jorge.

Genealogy of the Holy War

Spoiler

1. Erinys: 2,980 / 157th, 977
2. Azelle: 2,691 / 198th, 771
3. Arthur: 2,619 / 219th, 682
4. Lex: 2,544 / 203rd, 738
5. Tine: 2,520 / 184th, 825
6. Patty: 2,490 / 201st, 757
7. Ulster: 1,530 / 271st, 491
8. Dew: 1,222 / 358th, 296
9. Chulainn: 1,159 / 368th, 280
10. Arion: 1,059 / 322nd, 379

Thracia 776

Spoiler

1. Sara: 1,773 / 246th, 568
2. Asbel: 1,389 / 290th, 446
3. Linoan: 1,137 / 354th, 306
4. Marty: 1,029 / 476th, 128
5. Galzus: 1,007 / 338th, 342
6. Miranda: 988 / 412th, 211
7. Ronan: 956 / 299th, 423
8. Machyua: 869 / 432nd, 185
9. Lara: 838 / 460th, 150
10. Carrion: 740 / 403rd, 222

Binding Blade

Spoiler

1. Lot: 4,773 / 404th, 221
2. Hector: 3,234 / not on ballot due to FE7 Hector winning in 2
3. Gonzalez: 2,810 / 261st, 519
4. Hugh: 1,741 / 282nd, 470
5. Eliwood: 1,296 / not on ballot due to FE7 Eliwood winning in 3
6. Noah: 1,116 / 422nd, 197
7. Karel: 1,105 / 387th, 250
8. Niime: 962 / 352nd, 314
9. Cath: 937 / 429th, 190
10. Dorothy: 936 / 409th, 215

Blazing Blade

Spoiler

1. Erk: 7,348 / 111th, 1,445
2. Sain: 5,957 / 143rd, 1,091
3. Athos: 5,579 / 114th, 1,409
4. Guy: 5,371 / 190th, 793
5. Limstella: 3,601 / 188th, 803
6. Sonia: 3,276 / 198th, 771
7. Kent: 2,669 / 287th, 457
8. Wil: 2,413 / 328th, 365
9. Oswin: 2,066 / 317th, 390
10. Farina: 2,028 / 292nd, 434

Sacred Stones

Spoiler

1. Knoll: 5,220 / 155th, 983
2. Colm: 3,719 / 214th, 696
3. Gilliam: 3,601 / 216th, 693
4. Neimi: 3,054 / 263rd, 511
5. Artur: 2,760 / 234th, 603
6. Vanessa: 2,653 / 238th, 589
7. Duessel: 2,360 / 260th, 526
8. Natasha: 2,141 / 275th, 484
9. Franz: 2,008 / 283rd, 467
10. Garcia: 1,923 / 392nd, 242

Path of Radiance, Radiant Dawn

Spoiler

1. Volke: 5,942 / 145th, 1,079
2. Lucia: 5,583 / 157th, 977
3. Boyd: 4,960 / 141st, 1,101
4. Astrid: 4,663 / 204th, 735
5. Edward: 4,505 / 186th, 818
6. Stefan: 4,416 / 175th, 871
7. Sephiran: 3,803 / 114th, 1,409
8. Marcia: 3,531 / 245th, 571
9. Volug: 3,461 / 218th, 684
10. Tormod: 3,192 / 232nd, 618

Awakening

Spoiler

1. Severa: 16,585 / 67th, 2,682
2. Priam: 5,309 / 183rd, 835
3. Kellam: 4,635 / 272nd, 489
4. Miriel: 4,372 / 202nd, 749
5. Gregor: 3,929 / 259th, 529
6. Flavia: 3,891 / 246th, 568
7. Ricken: 3,744 / 265th, 507
8. Vaike: 3,025 / 282nd, 470
9. Basilio: 2,966 / 297th, 427
10. Cervantes: 1,696 / 461st, 149

Note: There's only four other missing characters (Laurent, Yen'fay, Validar, Excellus) left on the CYL ballot aside from the above.

Fates

Spoiler

1. Anna: 11,929 / 173rd, 880
2. Nyx: 8,871 / 109th, 1,465
3. Caeldori: 7,013 / 280th, 472
4. Dwyer: 6,244 / 151st, 1,024
5. Orochi: 5,817 / 193rd, 788
6. Scarlet: 5,657 / 214th, 696
7. Anankos: 5,299 / 195th, 781
8. Mozu: 5,261 / 215th, 694
9. Reina: 3,763 / 253rd, 550
10. Arete: 3,509 / 279th, 473

Three Houses

Spoiler

1. Marianne: 14,105 / 13th
2. Felix: 12,465 / 14th
3. Ashe: 9,288 / 19th
4. Rhea: 5,627 / 31st
5. Linhardt: 4,591 / 40th
6. Seiros: 4,145 / 48th
7. Dedue: 3,495 / 52nd
8. Caspar: 2,987 / 59th
9. Leonie: 2,503 / 73rd
10. Anna: 1,292 / 120th

Tokyo Mirage Sessions

Spoiler

1. Tiki: 4,161 / 47th
2. Maiko: 2,078 / 83rd
3. Touma & Cain: 1,760 / 94th
4. Yashiro & Navarre: 1,228 / 127th
5. Ayaha & Aversa: 922 / 168th

Heroes: Triandra's results and Freyr's results do not matter since they'll both be added as Mythics by the end of 2021 if not earlier. Freyja was not on the CYL ballot, and neither were Kiran / Summoner, Gustav, Henriette, or Thorr.

Edited by Tybrosion
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1 hour ago, Tybrosion said:

Binding Blade

  Reveal hidden contents

1. Lot: 4,773 / 404th, 221
2. Hector: 3,234 / not on ballot due to FE7 Hector winning in 2
3. Gonzalez: 2,810 / 261st, 519
4. Hugh: 1,741 / 282nd, 470
5. Eliwood: 1,296 / not on ballot due to FE7 Eliwood winning in 3
6. Noah: 1,116 / 422nd, 197
7. Karel: 1,105 / 387th, 250
8. Niime: 962 / 352nd, 314
9. Cath: 937 / 429th, 190
10. Dorothy: 936 / 409th, 215

 

What's this list look like without Hector, Eliwood, and Karel?

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7 minutes ago, Fire Emblem Fan said:

What's this list look like without Hector, Eliwood, and Karel?

1. Lot: 4,773 (hard carried by his 3,218 votes in CYL1)
2. Gonzalez: 2,810
3. Hugh: 1,741
4. Noah: 1,116
5. Niime: 962
6. Cath: 937
7. Dorothy: 936
8. Lance: 891
9. Zeiss: 881
10. Saul: 847

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