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Naoshi

Calendar mid June/July

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Estimate of upcoming orbs based on the 2021-06 calendar. Thanks u/Banpei-kun from Reddit.

Spoiler

Notes:

  • I'm assuming you'll get 4 orbs at the end of Arena and Allegiance Battles. I'm also assuming you'll get 2 orbs at the end of each round of Pawns of Loki for your tier. Adjust accordingly.

  • We've never seen something like "Test of a Lance Quests" before. Most of these quests give out 4 orbs, but I'm going to wait until it's datamined.

  • I'm guessing version 5.7.0 with Squad Assault 48 will be released on 2021-07-05, 2 days before a Special Heroes banner.

  • The calendar has events up to 2021-07-07. The list below ends on 2020-07-12 to finish the Arena week.

    Thu Jun 10: 3 orbs

  • 1 - New Heroes Log-In Bonus (3/10)

  • 2 - Forging Bonds (3/7)

    Fri Jun 11: 3 orbs

  • 1 - New Heroes Log-In Bonus (4/10)

  • 2 - Forging Bonds (4/7)

    Sat Jun 12: 10 orbs

  • 2 - New Heroes Log-In Bonus (5/10)

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Saturday

  • 1 - Rival Domains

  • 2 - Forging Bonds (5/7)

  • 4 - Red Battle Quests

    Sun Jun 13: 5 orbs

  • 1 - New Heroes Log-In Bonus (6/10)

  • 1 - Daily Login on Sunday

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Sunday

  • 2 - Forging Bonds (6/7)

    Mon Jun 14: 7 orbs

  • 1 - New Heroes Log-In Bonus (7/10)

  • 4 - Arena Tier

  • 2 - Forging Bonds (7/7)
    Weekly total (partial): 28

    Tue Jun 15: 3 orbs

  • 1 - New Heroes Log-In Bonus (8/10)

  • 1 - Arena Streak

  • 1 - RB / AB / AA quests

    Wed Jun 16: 8 orbs

  • 1 - New Heroes Log-In Bonus (9/10)

  • 2 - Hall of Forms (1/4)

  • 5 - Hall of Forms chambers

    Thu Jun 17: 12 orbs

  • 3 - New Heroes Log-In Bonus (10/10)

  • 9 - Bound Hero Battle: Ike & Julia

    Fri Jun 18: 3 orbs

  • 3 - Hall of Forms (2/4)

    Sat Jun 19: 6 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (1/10)

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Saturday

  • 1 - Rival Domains

  • 1 - Pawns of Loki Quest (1/1)

  • 2 - Pawns of Loki Score Rewards

    Sun Jun 20: 5 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (2/10)

  • 1 - Daily Login on Sunday

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Sunday

  • 2 - Hall of Forms (3/4)

    Mon Jun 21: 28 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (3/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (1/10)

  • 4 - Arena Tier

  • 2 - Pawns of Loki Tier Rewards (1/1)

  • 9 - Paralogue 60

  • 3 - Paralogue 60 Lunatic Quests

  • 8 - Chain Challenge Paralogues 59 & 60
    Weekly total: 65
     

    Tue Jun 22: 49 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (4/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (2/10)

  • 1 - Arena Streak

  • 1 - RB / AA quests

  • 3 - Hall of Forms (4/4)

  • 42 - Tempest Trials+ score

    Wed Jun 23: 3 orbs

  • 2 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (5/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (3/10)

    Thu Jun 24: 6 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (6/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (4/10)

  • 4 - Frontline Phalanx Support Rewards (1/2)

    Fri Jun 25: 10 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (7/10)

  • 2 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (5/10)

  • 3 - Frontline Phalanx Support Rewards (2/2)

  • 4 - Grand Hero Battle Revival - Jorge: Traveling Peddler quests

    Sat Jun 26: 7 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (8/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (6/10)

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Saturday

  • 1 - Rival Domains

  • 1 - Pawns of Loki Quest (1/1)

  • 2 - Pawns of Loki Score Rewards

    Sun Jun 27: 4 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (9/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (7/10)

  • 1 - Daily Login on Sunday

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Sunday

    Mon Jun 28: 11 orbs

  • 3 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (10/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (8/10)

  • 1 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (1/10)

  • 4 - Arena Tier

  • 2 - Pawns of Loki Tier Rewards (1/1)
    Weekly total: 90
     

    Tue Jun 29: 4 orbs

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (9/10)

  • 1 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (2/10)

  • 1 - Arena Streak

  • 1 - RB / AB / AA quests

    Wed Jun 30: 13 orbs

  • 3 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (10/10)

  • 1 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (3/10)

  • 9 - Legendary Hero Battle

    Thu Jul 01: 22 orbs

  • 1 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (4/10)

  • 7 - Jul Quests

  • 10 - Jul Training

  • 4 - Voting Gauntlet quests (1/3)

    Fri Jul 02: 10 orbs

  • 2 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (5/10)

  • 5 - Bound Hero Battle Revival: Lugh & Raigh quests

  • 1 - Pawns of Loki Quest (1/1)

  • 2 - Pawns of Loki Score Rewards

    Sat Jul 03: 7 orbs

  • 1 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (6/10)

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Saturday

  • 1 - Rival Domains

  • 4 - Voting Gauntlet quests (2/3)

    Sun Jul 04: 5 orbs

  • 1 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (7/10)

  • 1 - Daily Login on Sunday

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Sunday

  • 2 - Pawns of Loki Tier Rewards (1/1)

    Mon Jul 05: 12 orbs

  • 1 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (8/10)

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (1/10)

  • 4 - Arena Tier

  • 4 - Voting Gauntlet quests (3/3)

  • 2 - Squad Assault 48
    Weekly total: 73
     

    Tue Jul 06: 11 orbs

  • 1 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (9/10)

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (2/10)

  • 1 - Arena Streak

  • 1 - RB / AA quests

  • 5 - Lost Lore acts

  • 2 - Lost Lore score

    Wed Jul 07: 59 orbs

  • 3 - Voting Gauntlet Log-In Bonus (10/10)

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (3/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (1/10)

  • 9 - Paralogue 61

  • 3 - Paralogue 61 Lunatic Quests

  • 42 - Tempest Trials+ score

    Thu Jul 08: 2 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (4/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (2/10)

    Fri Jul 09: 3 orbs

  • 2 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (5/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (3/10)

    Sat Jul 10: 4 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (6/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (4/10)

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Saturday

  • 1 - Rival Domains

    Sun Jul 11: 5 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (7/10)

  • 2 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (5/10)

  • 1 - Daily Login on Sunday

  • 1 - Daily Quests on Sunday

    Mon Jul 12: 6 orbs

  • 1 - Tempest Trials+ Log-In Bonus (8/10)

  • 1 - Special Heroes Log-In Bonus (6/10)

  • 4 - Arena Tier
    Weekly total: 90

    Total orbs: 346


Thanks u/Westero from Reddit.
Ephemeras for this month:

Spoiler
770 Ephemera 6 {Summer Helbindi, Summer Noire, Winter Felix, New Year's Keaton}
  • 120 from Forging Bonds (Jun 8 )

  • 120 from Hall of Forms (Jun 16)

  • 120 from Pawns of Loki Round 1 (Jun 19 / Jun 26 / Jul 2)

  • 50 from Tempest Trials (Jun 22)

  • 120 from Frontline Phalanx (Jun 24) - if the past is an indication, we'll only actually get 100 of this, for a 750 total

  • 120 from Voting Gauntlet (Jul 1 / Jul 3 / Jul 5)

  • 120 from Lost Lore (July 6)

NOTE: July 7th's Tempest Trials begins Ephemera 7

 

Edited by Naoshi

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I'm gonna take a guess and say that the first Special Heroes banner for the summer will be focused on Archanea with Female Kris being the star. I can see Norne coming along, too.

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2 minutes ago, Fire Emblem Fan said:

I'm gonna take a guess and say that the first Special Heroes banner for the summer will be focused on Archanea with Female Kris being the star. I can see Norne coming along, too.

It could have some Archanea, but it can't be all Archanea because [datamine related SPOILERS]:

Spoiler

Some amount of Three Houses is confirmed for the first Summer banner, as one of the banners (the TT+ one, as it turned out) found in the datamine will have Marianne on it. 

 

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1 minute ago, Tybrosion said:

It could have some Archanea, but it can't be all Archanea because [datamine related SPOILERS]:

  Hide contents

Some amount of Three Houses is confirmed for the first Summer banner, as one of the banners (the TT+ one, as it turned out) found in the datamine will have Marianne on it. 

 

Interesting. What else do we know from that?

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8 minutes ago, Tybrosion said:

It could have some Archanea, but it can't be all Archanea because [datamine related SPOILERS]:

  Reveal hidden contents

Some amount of Three Houses is confirmed for the first Summer banner, as one of the banners (the TT+ one, as it turned out) found in the datamine will have Marianne on it. 

 

Oh dang, really? Well, forget I made any prediction, ha.

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14 minutes ago, Othin said:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Interesting. What else do we know from that?

 

Spoiler

Nothing past that as far as I know. Marianne was the only character that could be confirmed for that banner.

 

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My thoughts egarding the summer TT banner potential dateline "leak" of sorts:

Spoiler

Marianne could mean we get another Golden Deer, it does not necessarily entail Marianne herself will get a summer alt. It could be but... Last year we had Hubert for the second TT banner, for example, so it's anyone's game. Lysithea or Leonie perhaps? 

Anyway, looks like I have more time to save for summer then I thought! I hope we get a FEH channel soon so I can know whether or not I can spend on the double special heroes banner or not.

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Spoiler

Summer Marianne would be mega bait for me. In terms of 3H a summer Hilda makes a lot of sense. I've seen people speculate that there could be a Hilda/Marianne Duo with Hilda in the lead, but I would think otherwise since Marianne is the CYL winner this year and scored higher than Hilda last year. Not to mention Hilda already has an alt, but I'd rather it be that way so I can safely skip. This would be a chance for a character like Ashe to get into the game too lol.

It's crazy to me that we're just now getting Jorge's rerun. I haven't been keeping track of other GHB reruns, but his sticks out to me because he came out during the CYL banner last year.

And Frontline Snorlanx is back. Did the update even fix the balancing of that mode, because it's not a good look that the player base hasn't been able to get max rewards since the second iteration and on.

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4 hours ago, Tybrosion said:
  Hide contents

Nothing past that as far as I know. Marianne was the only character that could be confirmed for that banner.

 

What about deconfirmations? And what did it say about other banners?

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Hmm it's something I noticed a while ago, but... The only Blue Lion we're still missing is Ashe. (We have Dimitri (Student, Fallen, Timeskip, and Healed), Dedue (Student), Ingrid (Student and Summer), Sylvain (Summer), Felix (Christmas), Anette (Student), and Mercedes (Student).) It's kind of surprising since I thought he was one of the more popular ones. Everywhere I looked, people loved the guy. I do, too, but that doesn't really have anything to do with how often I saw people mentioning him.

Anyway, it'll be nice when he becomes available. I wonder if IS is saving him for an Ashen Wolves banner. I haven't played that route yet, but I remember hearing that he's available on it.

Hmm who else is missing from the other houses? Are they each missing only one? Have any of them been completely added to Heroes yet?

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23 minutes ago, Mercakete said:

Hmm it's something I noticed a while ago, but... The only Blue Lion we're still missing is Ashe. (We have Dimitri (Student, Fallen, Timeskip, and Healed), Dedue (Student), Ingrid (Student and Summer), Sylvain (Summer), Felix (Christmas), Anette (Student), and Mercedes (Student).) It's kind of surprising since I thought he was one of the more popular ones. Everywhere I looked, people loved the guy. I do, too, but that doesn't really have anything to do with how often I saw people mentioning him.

Anyway, it'll be nice when he becomes available. I wonder if IS is saving him for an Ashen Wolves banner. I haven't played that route yet, but I remember hearing that he's available on it.

Hmm who else is missing from the other houses? Are they each missing only one? Have any of them been completely added to Heroes yet?

Blue Lions is missing Ashe, Black Eagles is missing Caspar, Golden Deer is missing Leonie and Ignatz.

Looking at students who have only appeared as seasonals so far, there's Sylvain and Felix for Blue Lions, Dorothea for Black Eagles, and Lorenz and Raphael for Golden Deer. Dorothea is notably the only female character on this list, although Sylvain and Felix are also quite popular. (Lorenz and Raphael are not.)

My guess is that the next regular house banner will be Ashe, Caspar, Leonie, and Dorothea, while Ignatz gets introduced as a seasonal. Could also have Sylvain or Felix in there somewhere.

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The leaked character means my orbs are once again threatened. I'd probably guess for the rest of the characters: 

Spoiler

Petra and Claude, and then hopefully Hapi with Igntaz or Ashe as a TT+ character. Claude gets attention since he wasn't in the Fallen Heroes banner like his peers, so he needs another Alt to catch up. Petra gets a spot because of Brigid and swimming there, and Ashe gets a spot because his support with Petra is where it all comes from. Hapi is a wildcard, but I think throwing her in would be an awesome treat. 

 

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Summer banner JP VA association theory:

 

Spoiler

Some folks are saying Caspar and Mercedes might be on the banner. Simply put, their JP VAs recently got cast in additional roles in FEH, so many are thinking that they got brought into the studio to record new heroes as well rather than just recording one new character alone. Another example of this is that JP Edelgard's VA got cast as Baby Ephraim, so many were thinking we would see a new Edelgard soon and sure enough we did.

Besides, Caspar and Mercie both strike me as perfect contenders for a summer alt.

Over in the ENG VA side, Jessica Gee George voiced Ashera. She also voices Cornelia in TH. This may mean nothing, but it DOES strike me as a bit odd because they have been casting newbie VAs as of late, so I was thinking we would get another newcomer to voice the Order Goddess, but randomly bringing back Jessica is strange. I am simply inclined to think she had to be brought back to voice one of her original characters (Panne is the other one) and got cast to do someone else as well. The summer banners have had a busty magic lady-villain as a theme as of late (Ursula, Rhea, Selena), so I would not be too surprised if we did see Cornelia. 

 

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Best thing about back to back summer seasonals is that we get a bunch of seals from the Tempest Trials. Oh, and I guess there's a bunch of orbs too since summer is my least seasonal banner so I always skip those banners regardless of who is on it. Otherwise there is nothing of note to me on the calendar. I'm more curious what game will be the focus for July's new heroes banner even though it is going to feel like it's a long ways off from now.

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23 hours ago, Othin said:

Blue Lions is missing Ashe, Black Eagles is missing Caspar, Golden Deer is missing Leonie and Ignatz.

Looking at students who have only appeared as seasonals so far, there's Sylvain and Felix for Blue Lions, Dorothea for Black Eagles, and Lorenz and Raphael for Golden Deer. Dorothea is notably the only female character on this list, although Sylvain and Felix are also quite popular. (Lorenz and Raphael are not.)

My guess is that the next regular house banner will be Ashe, Caspar, Leonie, and Dorothea, while Ignatz gets introduced as a seasonal. Could also have Sylvain or Felix in there somewhere.

I see. But I still count seasonals as being in the game since, well, they are. Anyway, it's interesting how the characters I like seem to be the ones being ignored. Ashe and Ignatz are sweeties, Leonie's awesome, and Caspar's fun (though I'm still getting to know him.) Of course, I like most of the characters in 3H, but it's odd how it's these particular ones who aren't in yet. They could totally all be introduced at the same time though; you're right about that.

Actually, a banner with Leonie, Alois, and Jeralt would be nice. I'd include Byleth, but those two are already getting plenty of attention/in the game. Jeralt Gang banner!

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6 hours ago, NSSKG151 said:

Best thing about back to back summer seasonals is that we get a bunch of seals from the Tempest Trials. Oh, and I guess there's a bunch of orbs too since summer is my least seasonal banner so I always skip those banners regardless of who is on it. Otherwise there is nothing of note to me on the calendar. I'm more curious what game will be the focus for July's new heroes banner even though it is going to feel like it's a long ways off from now.

It's still the usual one TT per month, it's just that June and July's are clustered together. (Unlike New Year's, where there's a whole extra one.)

44 minutes ago, Mercakete said:

I see. But I still count seasonals as being in the game since, well, they are. Anyway, it's interesting how the characters I like seem to be the ones being ignored. Ashe and Ignatz are sweeties, Leonie's awesome, and Caspar's fun (though I'm still getting to know him.) Of course, I like most of the characters in 3H, but it's odd how it's these particular ones who aren't in yet. They could totally all be introduced at the same time though; you're right about that.

Actually, a banner with Leonie, Alois, and Jeralt would be nice. I'd include Byleth, but those two are already getting plenty of attention/in the game. Jeralt Gang banner!

Yeah, that's usually how I count it as well, but they do sometimes bring in regular versions of previous seasonal-exclusives.

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I am kind of saving for that second summer banner since there is a chance it could be TMS, since TMS and FE5 are the 2 games missing harmonic heroes. I am going to try for N!Navarre on the double banner since he refused to show up on the Ninja banner last year.  As to 3Hs the only 2 favs I want that aren't in FEH in some form are Ashe and Balthus.  Ashe has a good chance, but I see Balthus being saved for the Ashen Wolves banner that will come at some point.

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21 hours ago, Mercakete said:

I see. But I still count seasonals as being in the game since, well, they are. Anyway, it's interesting how the characters I like seem to be the ones being ignored. Ashe and Ignatz are sweeties, Leonie's awesome, and Caspar's fun (though I'm still getting to know him.) Of course, I like most of the characters in 3H, but it's odd how it's these particular ones who aren't in yet. They could totally all be introduced at the same time though; you're right about that.

I don't think its odd that Ignatz gets ignored. Despite being a ''sweetie'' he has a rather lukewarm reputation in the fandom. He's great but people seem to discount him for some reason. As such I don't entirely expect him to be a seasonal either, let alone a more fanservicy summer unit. 

But Ashe's absence really is strange. You'd think he'd  be added sooner. Most people seem to like Ashe or go ''precious son, must protect!'' about him. I could see Ashe being a summer unit due to his support with Petra expressing a desire to swim in the ocean. 

Though I guess its interesting that through all the three houses its the ''shota'' boy who's still the absentee while all the other got added. 

Edited by Etrurian emperor

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2 hours ago, Etrurian emperor said:

I don't think its odd that Ignatz gets ignored. Despite being a ''sweetie'' he has a rather lukewarm reputation in the fandom. He's great but people seem to discount him for some reason. As such I don't entirely expect him to be a seasonal either, let alone a more fanservicy summer unit. 

But Ashe's absence really is strange. You'd think he'd  be added sooner. Most people seem to like Ashe or go ''precious son, must protect!'' about him. I could see Ashe being a summer unit due to his support with Petra expressing a desire to swim in the ocean. 

Though I guess its interesting that through all the three houses its the ''shota'' boy who's still the absentee while all the other got added. 

To clarify, I never said that it was odd that Ignatz is being ignored. I'm aware of how unpopular he is. I'm just finding it interesting that my preferences are so different from what IS puts out. Not odd, either, just interesting. Like, intellectually tickling. And it's not just Ignatz, but all of the remaining missing students. For example, in my first run through 3H, one of the first students I knew I wanted to recruit was Leonie (though, that was more because I thought her personal skill would synergize well with some of the other ones I was putting together) and I wound up finding her to be refreshingly different from the other students. I wish she could have interacted with Ingrid more, actually. They have a lot of self-sufficiency tips they could trade.

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I think the Ashen Wolves might make for a fun summer group. The ideas of students from the shadows being in the sunlight would be a nice thematic shift. Constance is the most obvious summer unit. Maybe wearing an umbrella under which she's her usual wacky self, and switching to her moody version when she uses the umbrella to attack. Balthus can be all like ''Mwahaha! Look at my summer MUSCLES!'' and Hapi the sourpuss being dragged into summer fun could be amusing. 

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On 6/12/2021 at 1:35 AM, Etrurian emperor said:

 

Though I guess its interesting that through all the three houses its the ''shota'' boy who's still the absentee while all the other got added. 

Adding to the Shota discourse lol, we have had a popular male twink archer in the summer banners every year now: Gaius, Takumi, Wolt, Joshua... I wouldn't surprised if we did get Summer Ashe this year.

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