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Three Hopes - Rate their Chances


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Damn, I missed Marianne. I think she's the most likely Priest, or white magic specialist, for us to see. 'Course, a mounted class would also suit her well. I'm putting her at 8 out of 10. Less likely than Lysithea, but more likely than any other unconfirmed Golden Deer.

As for Seteth, he's playable in most routes and has a significant story presence. If there's any obvious representative of the Church of Seiros, it's him. I'm putting him at 9 out of 10. We'll probably see both him and Flayn, although I wonder how Three Hopes would represent their relationship. 

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Seteth? Probably 8/10. And good thing too since he's the best character. You can theoretically skip him and make Rhea the church representative but it still makes everything easier for the story if he's around. And Three Houses makes it clear that Seteth's a pretty big deal so there's really no reason to remove him.

Edited by Etrurian emperor
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6/10 for Seteth. It's almost unthinkable that we'll get him without Flayn, or Flayn without him, so same score.

He's decently likely for a church unit but that's far from a slam-dunk; the church units are way less popular than the students and Koei Tecmo knows this.

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Seteth is very plot-relevant and he has an obvious role as a standard wyvern rider. He also has a major crest and both a unique weapon and a unique shield for his crest. He also basically represented the playable church units, and while the church units are lacking in popularity compared to the students, I can't really see them go the "students-only" route. I could be wrong about that though; I have given Koei Tecmo the benefit of the doubt to not go 100% fanservice in the past before only for the doubt to be thrown back in my face in the form of Ike and others being absent from FE Warriors.

Overall, I'd probably 9/10. It would be 10/10 if not for the fact that I could easily be wrong about Koei Tecmo.

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Seteth averages to an even 8/10. Yes, really.

 

Day 10 - who's feeling Hapi

 

Being a wolf with no plot relevance and heavy role competition isn't to her favor. I hate to say this, but probably 3/10. She makes it if all the wolves do, whereas Yuri could make it by himself. Sigh.

 

As for want, 10/10. Hapi is best girl.

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Poor Hapi, I gotta give her a 4/10. She is the only one I can think of who would be a “pure” horse mounted caster. The others who could be one all have personal weapons that I doubt they would drop. Marianna has Bludgang, Sylvain has Lance of Ruin and Lorenz has (while not his per say) the Axe of Uskovana.

Personally I give her a 3/10, I find her to be the most boring is the wolves.

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4/10 for Hapi I think. As mentioned, Yuri could be a sole representative of the Wolves easily enough. All getting in as a DLC pack is also reasonable possible.

8 hours ago, vanguard333 said:

I have given Koei Tecmo the benefit of the doubt to not go 100% fanservice in the past before only for the doubt to be thrown back in my face in the form of Ike and others being absent from FE Warriors.

But... Ike being playable in a game set in the Archanaea/Awakening/Fates settings would have been 100% fanservice...

Not that I'd have minded, to be clear - I was surprised he wasn't added to the game in a similar fashion to Lyn - but yeah.

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11 minutes ago, Dark Holy Elf said:

4/10 for Hapi I think. As mentioned, Yuri could be a sole representative of the Wolves easily enough. All getting in as a DLC pack is also reasonable possible.

But... Ike being playable in a game set in the Archanaea/Awakening/Fates settings would have been 100% fanservice...

Not that I'd have minded, to be clear - I was surprised he wasn't added to the game in a similar fashion to Lyn - but yeah.

Yes, Ike would have been fanservice. But also fanservice towards a segment of the fandom that is traditionally grossly underserved. Not all fanservice is bad.

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47 minutes ago, Dark Holy Elf said:

But... Ike being playable in a game set in the Archanaea/Awakening/Fates settings would have been 100% fanservice...

Not that I'd have minded, to be clear - I was surprised he wasn't added to the game in a similar fashion to Lyn - but yeah.

35 minutes ago, Fabulously Olivier said:

Yes, Ike would have been fanservice. But also fanservice towards a segment of the fandom that is traditionally grossly underserved. Not all fanservice is bad.

Yeah; I definitely misspoke there; I was really tired and didn't think that sentence through. My original example was going to be Age of Calamity being an alternate-timeline fanservice plot, but I thought I'd change it to something less divisive and more relevant to FE (in this case, the lack of non-Awakening/Fates/Shadow Dragon characters in FE Warriors), and I did so without thinking through the statement and whether or not it would actually work as an example.

 

Anyway, Hapi... I don't know too much about the DLC cast, but I'm definitely going to say that there's an automatic reduced likelihood of her appearing because she's DLC. I honestly don't see any of the ashen wolves as being likely to appear simply because they were DLC; they were developed later.

So, Hapi gets a 2/10 from me.

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Hapi is tough...she's definitely my favorite of the Ashen Wolves (followed very closely by Constance, and then Yuri, and Balthus dead last), so I think personally I'd give her an 8/10. But unless DLC characters are automatically in the game, I'd put her odds at a 3.5/10 or 4/10. The problem is that the Ashen Wolves are an "all or nothing" thing to me. Either they all get in or none of them do, and I can honestly see it going either way. 

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How about Hapi? Well, she's less likely than Yuri, since he's the sort-of-leader of the Ashen Wolves. I could see them bringing in all the Wolves as DLC. Or I could see 1 boy and 1 girl from the Wolves, in which case, it's a toss-up between Hapi and Constance. I prefer Hapi as a character, and having Dark magic is a sell, but Dark Flier is a more distinctive class than Valkyrie. I'll put her at 4 out of 10.

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Just caught up with the thread, and the fact that Dedue has a score of 7.69, while Bernadetta and Marianne 8.68 and 9.61 respectively is genuinely baffling to me and feels so wrong 💀

 

Anyways, since OP says 'factor in odds of being DLC when rating', Hapi instantly goes from a 3 to a clean 9.

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I actually think Hapi has more of a chance than Balthus and Constance due to her ties with the Slithers. If Cornelia gets in then that would increase Hapi's chances.

However I actually suspect that none of the Wolves will get added in the base game. They'll be DLC again. 4/10

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Hapi averages out to an even 4/10. 

 

Day 11 - Felix

 

Easy one. Felix is the most likely non-lord male character in the game. He's immensely popular, has decent plot relevance, and is part of Dimitri's inner circle (much to his chagrin). Easy 10/10.

 

As for want score, 9/10. He's kind of the Navarre of this game. Generic edgy jerkass with a cool design. Would undoubtedly be one of my mains.

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Felix yea... that would be a 10/10 do to popularity and plot importance.

I really don't like the edgelord characters though, so he would be a character that I actively avoid so 1/10 for personal rating.

Edited by ciphertul
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I'm not sure if I'm actually going to give a 10 to anyone, but Felix sure does come close. 9/10. The only point against him is that in a potential version of the game that has (a) relatively few from each house (3-4) and (b) wants to strike a gender balance within each house, it's possible that Dedue gets chosen over him as the second and final male Lion. But even with those priors I'd think Felix would still have a better than 50% chance, so yeah, he's very likely! The most likely character we've rated so far. I think there's only one character I consider more likely, among those not yet confirmed.

 

6 minutes ago, ThePrimeOne said:

I can't believe Felix is inevitably going to have a higher score than Dedue... 

If this is a criticism of the opinions of people in this thread... Felix is far more popular than Dedue. It's not close, and we have a multitude of polls pointing towards this.

If this is a criticism of the fact that Felix is more popular than Dedue in the first place, than fair enough. All I'll say on that subject is that while I do like Felix more than Dedue myself, I definitely sympathize because I think Dedue is less popular than he should be.

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2 minutes ago, Dark Holy Elf said:

If this is a criticism of the opinions of people in this thread... Felix is far more popular than Dedue. It's not close, and we have a multitude of polls pointing towards this.

If this is a criticism of the fact that Felix is more popular than Dedue in the first place, than fair enough. All I'll say on that subject is that while I do like Felix more than Dedue myself, I definitely sympathize because I think Dedue is less popular than he should be.

It's not a criticism of anyone or anything. It's an off-handed comment b/c it's crazy to me that it'll be an inevitability, that's all.

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