Well lets try to sit thing out for a bit first of all Etrutria is in civil war well the game didnt mentioned the 2 sides but lets call Cecillia's side Loyalists because they still take orders from the King(though hes sick) and the other side is the extremists or the corrupt bastards who mine from Western isles and take orders from Bern.Roy in the other hand is with Cecillia so hes a Loyalist and I tell you his gambit payed off because not only did he bolstered a sizeable amount of forces in the way but also they discovered that Mirdain the prince is still alive so does it make it dumb or not the answer is simple ITS A RISK because THERE MIGHT BE AN AMBUSH CREATED BY THE BOTH SIDES OF BERN AND THE EXTREMIST TO DESTROY ROY but thank goodness the 2 kingdoms dont know the meaning of strategy nor ambush and well maybe Roy used it as an advantage