Ildanach

She can give Ike or Marth +6 attack for arms and legs.

Even if we are to just accept a 100% overlap in players who wanted closer matches and players who dislike the multiplier (and we really shouldn't), this mindset neglects an important truth. Just because someone sees a problem it doesn't mean they have to approve of any solution put forward.

Spent 200 about 23 minutes ago, and will be doing so again in each of my 3 remaining opportunities to contribute.

The prediction has team Ninian losing barely. It appears to be working under the premise that team Ninian will spend as in every other non multiplier hour, and so may be failing to account for the possibility of people dumping flags just because it's final hours.

First full upgrade was Breath of Life, next one will be Spur resistance. My Mae can now heal for 14 just by attacking, and soon she'll get +12 res just for having Camus stand next to her.

Spam flags, the current goal is to push Corrin's multiplier forward an hour.

It makes a bit more sense than you'd think though. Firstly, Chrom passes Archer on to her in her class set, so she's always had the ability to use bows. Secondly, while they're non canon, Lucina seems to use bows fairly frequently in other crossovers (oddly enough, she seems to have a bit of a preference for Nidhogg, did Lucy rob the Frelians?). On the actual topic of Azura though, It's not just that her move set would have been really unique within the cast. They've shown they're fine with taking things from other games, so they easily could have taken elements from Sheik's harp moveset and just given them different visuals for Azura.

I'd really like to get Nephenee. Wo Dao+ and Wrath seem like such a fun combination.

Every Hour, Ike seems to get slightly more over Camilla than the tracker guesses. Every hour that red line gets a little bit lower. I don't believe it will matter though...

Sorry, was just reporting as it was on the document. GMT is 4 hrs ahead of EST so 12 PM and 2 PM GMT.

Currently says 8:00 AM Eastern, followed by one at 10:00 AM Eastern.

If you compare this hours forecast to the last, Team Camilla's multiplier has been pushed forward by 2 hours.

Yeah, you guys went significantly harder than was projected. It actually shook up the predictions quite a bit. It's now suggesting a much narrower win for Ike. It's entirely possible that we won't. However, I've been holding back a bit on the earlier multipliers and intend not to on this one. If other members of Team Camilla do so as well, it could push our next multiplier back significantly.

It quite possibly will be. I'm not saying you need to hold back on your current bonus, just that next hour is the real moment of truth.

Honestly, I think the real thing that's going to be important to your further strategy isn't the results of this hour, but the next. Current projection has you guys giving Team Camilla the multiplier for next hour (basically guaranteed). After that the Team Camilla is projected to not give Ike a multiplier, and the next team Camilla multiplier is then expected to get their last multiplier early enough for Ike to recover. If we don't hand the multiplier back to you, just keep going as you are and you should win without too much trouble. If we do though, it might throw a wrench into things.

No, there's more than that. The spread sheet listed the 1st hour scores for Ike and Camilla as the final totals of Ike and Hector respectively. That made it look like they both lost a ton of points during the second hour.

It tends to be far from reliable and highly prone to change at this phase, but no it usually doesn't do this.

Two Bound Hero Battles and no new GHBs this month? That's more than a little disappointing. Ephraim and Eirika could be interesting though (will we get a new "disgusting" moment?). The idea of a mini tempest is pretty novel, but it really makes me feel like they need some new event types...

I'd certainly hope they're smart enough to judge popularity by scores sans multiplier (or if you prefer, just by the scores from the first hour).

Well I guess we're going to be on opposite sides this next round. Best of luck.

Well Lyn's inevitable loss is a bit deflating I have to admit. Guess I'll join team Camilla.

Yeah, based on the current data, Camilla is projected to win. It might be a bit early to really be sure of anything though, the predictions can go back and forth a bit wildly at this phase. Just a bit back it was saying Hector would take out Ike, and now it's projecting for Ike. Edit: Oh and don't forget, sometimes players get a bit more aggressive than projected during multipliers.

Honestly, that's the point where the plan is most likely to encounter a failure case (of course in that case, just side with anyone but the winner of Lyn/Lucina and you're mostly fine), but I do think Tharja has a decent shot of getting to round 2. What leads you to believe that Camilla is the likely winner of their match up in particular?

Choose Roy round one and profit off of Ike murdering your team. Tharja has a good chance of making it to round 2 and losing there, so support her second. You should then be able to support Ike for the finals. It could all go terribly wrong, but the theory is sound.

This is incorrect, choose first can get you stuck with candy bar + candy bar or ice cream + ice cream. Choose second and you can guarantee that you get candy bar + ice cream.