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Rain Nijika

Anonymous Mafia
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Posts posted by Rain Nijika

  1. If there's 3 anti town left, I'd say 2 of the following 3 things needs to be going on:

    - All Might lost his vote and is anti town (or anti town lost voting power through some other means, but unlikely).

    - Anti town doesn't have a second shot anymore (as in, mafia or itp lost their shot but can maybe still poison).

    - Nemu is scum (which likely implies they're lying about being poisoned, but scum actually being poisoned is also a pretty valid reason for it not being MyLo).

    Nemu being scum and poisoned explains it on it's own actually, but I don't find that part too likely.

  2. On 5-9-2018 at 7:59 AM, All Might said:

    actually

    ##unvote

    i think since one of my abilities is reversed, it's very possible it's the hidden mayor part. i might just make a wagon lose votes which would create a strange synergy. hidden mayor only makes sense if the mayor's got something to hide since there's already a flipped dv, and showing me.i lost votes removes the tension in the role. i at first assumed it was the lpv, so i blew it today thinking it'd make me get lynched faster. going with mayor as my guess now.

    All Might talks about losing votes, so if you factor that in + the chance Nemu is lying, the options chance a bit.

  3. Violet is basicly confirmed town, and Cu is pretty likely town here, to start of boring.

    Assuming Shinori says it's MyLo, Nemu is probably fine as well.

    All Mights revealed role strikes me as incredible likely to be the itp, but deadproof might just be there to counter balance the heavy killing I guess. The fact that he's trying to strongarm town into doing exactly what he says is frustratingly NAI (I know a few players here who I think would be this aggressive as town), but the complete disregard for people saying he's not confirmed town gives him away I feel (by which I mostly mean the fact that he keeps hammering on it, even though people have said numerous times it's not true). So yeah, would like this slot to go. Can't lynch him today though.

    Shiki's few content posts felt pretty good to me. I feel someone subbing into a scum slot would make less strong posts so soon. I also feel Insomniac is a really weird scum role, but that last part probably shouldn't be taken too seriously.

    That leaves two of Aizen, Marissa and Estelle as scum. Leaning towards Aizen and Estelle, I'll go into that more after I eat.

  4. 18 minutes ago, Marisa Kirisame said:

    I mean, Violet didn't use her shot and there was still a 3rd kill on n1. Poisoning more alludes to that being scum-related, and your theory cannot make sense because you can't use two actions at the same time; All Might said he was poisoned yday which is when 3 kills happened

    Bolded is pretty odd wording then, but whatever.

    Do the rules actually state that a player can't use multiple actions in the same night? If poisoning is regarded as a factional power for the itp, being able to also perform another action (like a one shot vig) isn't that weird?

    I'm more then willing to buy the mafia has a poisoner if they are only a 2 player team though.

    This isn't super relevant though, because even if the poisoner is on the scum team, Nemu or Cu getting shot isn't that unlikely.

  5. Also, there's currently 9 people left. If me misslynch today (like, idk, me) and two people die tonight, there's only 6 left. Assuming there's 2 scum and 1 itp left, that makes today potential MYLO, right? @Shinori can you confirm it's not MYLO?

    If it's actually not, this game either has only 2 mafia members, no itp (lol) or the anti town has some kind of voting restriction (All Might?). Just trowing that out there.

  6. Okay no.

    Two of the people most likely to get shot tonight have been docced and there's a second person claiming to have been poisoned, but me being roleblocked is still the only plausible explanation for there not being a second kill? Really? Have you people actually considered that maybe:

    1. Scum/Itp tried to kill the doc, since WHY WOULDN'T THEY?, only to suddenly get stopped by a second protect?

    2. Nemu just happened to guess a kill target correctly?

    3. Maybe the Itp only has one actual shot and their main form of killing is poison?

  7. 6 minutes ago, Nemu Kurotsuchi said:

    I think it's either the scenario you mentioned, an attempt to draw a doc, or one of the following.

     - A way to keep him off the lynch table today, making a mislynch more likely
    - He's a scum PR that wants to buy a night

    I get that keeping him alive should be the best move, since on the off chance he's town it's way better, but I feel confident enough in his scumflip that I don't want to risk one of the two options I mentioned for it.

    I'll consolidate on Kamina if needed, but this is why I think lynching All Might is not as bad as it seems.

    Thing is, before he claimed it seemed pretty likely the lynch would be between you or Aizen, so his claim being purely there to gain a night seems pretty odd.

    And I just find it hard to believe he has a role that specificly does something N2 that would make gambling his survival for later phases away possibly worth it. I can kind of see where you're coming from, since if you're 100% sure he's scum and lying, killing him is slightly better then doing it tommorow, but I'm just not as sure.

    3 minutes ago, Nemu Kurotsuchi said:

    Side note: I'm not doccing All Might tonight barring an innocent child pop-up. If he's alive tomorrow don't let him tell you I had a change of heart or whatever. This may be obvious but I wanted it out in the thread to make sure.

    I'd be screaming for a turbo on you otherwise, and I have pretty good vocal cords~

  8. Can someone explain to me why it's a good idea to lynch All Might now again?

    I feel like it's

    1. A pretty dumb claim, since it can very easily backfire and with an itp around it doesn't even fully clear him if we believed him. I mean it could be a not too well thought out plan to gain some towncred and lure in a doc protect I guess, and all the killing power makes a poisoner less likely, but I still don't see it as 100% obvious fake. Most importantly though:

    2. We get conformation on whether he's telling the truth or not tommorow anyway. Why would we take a gamble on him now, instead of just waiting one phase and lynch someone else now (we have to lynch other people at some point anyway) and be sure of what to do with him tommorow? If he lives, easy lynch. If he doesn't, free lynch on someone else.

    ##Vote: Kamina

     

  9. Maybe I'm missing something, but why would we lynch All Might now, when we can just let him prove whether he's poisoned or not with his life?

    Like, if he's dead tommorow, we at least didn't waste a lynch on him, and if he lives we know he's scum for sure!

  10. 2 minutes ago, Aizen said:

    And why would you want that? Less info to have an opinion on means less for us to read and figure out your alignment you giving your thoughts on Vio then reaching her claim would've been great. I don't understand why you're wanting to give us less to work with. Good thing being an idol doesn't require much on your end doesn't it dear?

    Not quite sure what you mean here, but my main purpose in this game is catching scum, right? And by doing that, you can just look at my efforts and determine whether you trust me or not, right?

    I could spend my time talking about stuff that's already irrelevant to all of you, but that feels pretty pointless and I wouldn't want to bore out my fans. But look at me talking, I'm sure the evil mastermind had already predicted this was what I was thinking, right?

  11. 2 minutes ago, Aizen said:

    I'd be more worried about catching up then who claimed what if I were in your shoes. I suggest reading the end of day 1 with the thought that the 4 main choices for wagons by the end were Vio C2 Nemu and Ochako

    Claims can help a lot though? For instance, Violet's claim pretty much confirms she's town, because any town killing role would have either counter claimed or killed her by now (and I seriously doubt the mafia + itp have two killing roles on top of their factional kills). That means there's one less person I have to carefully read up and form an opinion on.

  12. Not a big fan of Nemu after reading up on her at the moment. I feel like she has basicly only talked about C.C. and Violet, apart from her spat with Aizen who she started suspecting there (and one list post).

    She also kept suspecting C.C. more then Violet, until she finally said it would depend on how C.C. reenters the thread. Basicly, it feels like very safe content until she actually got attacked, plus her trying to keep a way out not have to vote C.C., even though she could say she suspected her.

    I'd be fine with this lynch currently, but I'm going to read Aizen first.

    Also

    1 hour ago, All Might said:

    ok im sick of waiting

    i was poisoned

    Why is there so much killing power in this game?

  13. @Sham OMG, we should totally do a duet sometime! Lets light this place up and let everyone forget about these somber times!

    Anyhow, considering her claim and how giving scum more killing power here seems pretty wack, I think Violet is confirmed town. Her wagon is kind of odd to analyze though, since it appeared super fast, and everyone on it (other then flipped town Refa) proceeded to jump on the scum wagon afterwards.

    Sham starting a turbo and calling my slot a bad lynch seems like a pretty bad move for scum, since my slot got lynched she wouldn't catch any fire, while she'd take a lot of the blame on Violets flip. Marissa switched to C.C. super fast after the claim, so I'm not really suspecting her either. Nemu kind of hang back to see if something else could be started, so she's more sus. Still could have voted my slot though.

    Aizen actually tried to get my wagon going instead of C.C's, so that's kind of sus.

    Gonna read up on these two first, All Might is third now. Stay tuned for the next part of detecitve Rain!

  14. Yahaloo guys, how are you all doing?! This is your friendly substitute idol speaking!

    Ahem, yeah I just subbed in and I haven't really read through D1 yet. I'll be going through that shortly, mostly focussing on the wagons, Nemu and All Might, since those seem to be the point of intrest right now? If you guys want me to prioritzie diferent stuff, let me know (a quick summary of what happened D1 would be nice, so I can focus on reading back for details and stuff).

    Also I somehow subbed into one the few slots I'm actually not familiar with, so if my roleplay sucks, blame whoever chose this obscure character! This cute idol is innocent!

    More to come soon, mostly wanted to remind people I subbed in, cause that seems to have gone under the radar.

  15. On 28/08/2018 at 11:10 PM, Cú Chulainn said:

    Hey So since I have a history of being mislynched in anon games, I wanted to claim this information right away. I have a very scummy role. in addition to that, I have mod-given confirmation that there IS a hostile third party in this game. If claiming this gets me killed or whatever (by some role looking for me or some shit) then so be it, because I don't see the town benefit in keeping this info private.

    Bolded is the story of my life, except for Mafia in general. Also, interesting stuff brought up.

    On 28/08/2018 at 11:37 PM, All Might said:

    2. in anon games i've found people who are awkward and overdue roleplaying to have a pretty good track record of being wolf

    Please tell me you are kidding.

    All-Might seems wishy-washy but it's page 2 and RVS, so...

    On 28/08/2018 at 11:37 PM, All Might said:

    talk to me like a person

    animes are confusing. attributed rain's awkward ass entrance to aizen, but since aizen immediately jumped to rain's defense, doesnt seem like w/w. if im pushing rain i dont want to be cross universing yet and pushing aizen whos roleplaying bugs me in general

    ... What are you talking about? Awkward ass entrance, Aizen jumping to my defense...? Do you realize my only post was made at page 1 and I've been off this game for that long?

    So, it's page 4 and there's a wagon at me for people whose reasons are pretty much "hey I'll sheep All Might's wagon, sounds fun!". That was an ok excuse during RVS phase. Not so much for page 3 and 4.

    Ok I'll go eat something now.

  16. so, uh, I asked Shinori if we could just forget about this whole Mafia thing and go play Monster Hunter / 100% Orange Juice and he laughed at me. 

    Oh well.

    So... how much time do I have left? I don't want to read everything while we have like 6 hours or so for the deadline. If that's the case, I'll focus on what the most recent discussion is all about.

  17. 13 pages? An ambiguous short time until D1 ends? Plenty of discussions and well elaborated posts for me to read? School work + projects + work related things occupying me as well? Little time for chilling and playing videogames? Well, you know what they say.

    Spoiler

    Imagem relacionada

     

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