kirby9612

Sanders' path to the nomination is now much more difficult. If you looked at the post I made right before the Iowa caucus, I projected Bernie would win Nevada. Hillary ended up winning that state by a whopping 5.5 point margin (compared to her 0.2 point victory in Iowa) . She maintains a 24-point lead in South Carolina, which puts a Sanders victory in the state out of the question. The only states on Super Tuesday that look safe for Bernie are Massachussetts and Vermont. He could potentially swing Minnesota and Colorado into his column if he finishes with a "strong" second place showing in South Carolina, which is unlikely. On a side note, would any of you guys vote for Hillary Clinton in the general election?

I read on FiveThirtyEight that Obama cannot appoint a justice as liberal as Kagan or Sotomayor to the Supreme Court. Apparently, he will have to nominate a moderate/centrist. The thing I hate most about politics is that it seems to play into EVERYTHING. Movies, books, games, excedera. Even Fire Emblem. It's difficult to find a work of art that doesn't have any sort of political leaning.

BREAKING: Chief Justice Antonin Scalia has died at the age of 79. How will this affect the race?

A few days ago I had this weird dream where Trump was "campaigning" in Germany and then he went "missing" . I checked the internet and on the Huffington Post it said "Trump may be dead" . I think it has something to do with the refugees. Anyways, the primaries on the Democratic side is looking to be a nail-biter. A new poll shows that Clinton and Sanders are tied in Nevada, however that's only one poll. The Nevada caucuses are CLOSED, which means only registered Democrats can vote, and no switching registration/ independents.

I have heard that Bernie does not support reparations for African Americans. I have also heard that he sponsored a bill to dump toxic waste in the mostly latino community of Sierra Blanca, Texas.

Super Tuesday is scheduled for March 1. 12 states will hold nominating contests at the same time. I predict that Bernie will take a big beating come the South Carolina and Nevada primaries, as most of his supporters are overwhemingly white. Whether he can survive Super Tuesday or not depends on if he carries 3 or more states aside from Vermont on March 1.

With Rubio finishing in a sordid 5th place in New Hampshire, it seems now that Scenario 3 ( Trump vs. Clinton) is now much more likely, Scenario 2 much less unless Rubio finishes in a strong 2nd or 3rd place showing in South Carolina, but is the riskiest gamble of all 3 scenarios

Early voting begins in less than 10 minutes, It looks like Trump and Bernie are set to take New Hampshire. Rubiobot is in dire need of a cpu upgrade. Here are some general election predictions: SCENARIO 1: Trump vs Sanders = win/win , will increase turnout as both motivate the bases with their fiery populist messages, sanders will likely win with the aid of millenials. SCENARIO 2: Clinton vs Rubio = lose/lose , will drastically reduce turnout as both are no-frills run-of-the-mill establishment candidates. Rubio will likely win as conventional wisdom says the GOP wins when voter turnout is low. SCENARIO 3: Clinton vs Trump = lose/win, will increase voter turnout on the GOP side, and is a toss up, ignoring polling. The result depends on whether Trump pivots to the center with a less populist, more Mitt Romney esque campaign after winning the nomination/defeating his last opponent in the primaries or if he stays the racist demagogue he is now; he wins if the former happens, and Clinton wins if the latter happens. Unfortunately, out of the 3 scenarios, the middle one, (Scenario 2) is the most probable one, according to political prediction markets, as Trump and Sanders are hated to the bone by the establishment and are both being sabatoged by them at the moment. Prior to the Iowa caucuses, it seemed Scenario 1 was the most likely outcome, but now, it's Scenario 2.

On the GOP side, it looks like the race has become Donald vs. the Cuban Cousins. Trump is set to win NH, but Rubio could come up from behind and win the nomination. On the Dem side, New Hampshire is a lock for Bernie. Don't know about his staying power though. Many across the internet are saying Super Tuesday ( which includes the SEC primary ) will be the end of the road for him, as apparently Clinton has most of the minority support. Santorum, Huckabee, and Paul are out, the former two being religious right candidates that won Iowa in 08 and 12', respectively, the lattermost being the libertarian "odd one out". On the Democrat side, Martin O'Malley is out. Seems he's become the John Edwards of this election cycle. Also: this for laughs:

UPDATES: YES, THE PRIMARIES HAVE BEGAN. Hillary has a 3 point lead over Sanders, and over 50% of the vote for the Dem. caucus is in. On the other side, it looks like Ted Cruz is set to to win Iowa. He has a 3 point lead over Trump. My forecast is: Iowa will go to Hillary for the Dem's and Cruz for the GOP. Yes, people the primary season has officially taken off. The Democrats' plane lands on July 25 in Philadelphia. The GOP's plane lands on July 18 in Cleveland.

This is my forecast for the primaries: Only 23 hours left.

I was expecting some very, very harsh criticism of my reply, but anyways, we are less than 20 hours away from the caucuses. It's time to start making up our minds.

Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders are similiar - in a lot of ways. First, they are running populist anti-estabishment campaigns without the funding of big donors/ super PACs. However, the populist slant of the Trump campaign is much more pronounced than that of the Sanders campaign. Second, most of their supporters are made up of a single demographic - white males. Bernie Sanders' supporters are mostly male white millennials in college while Donald Trump's supporters are older white males without college degrees. Trump has somehow alienated women and minorities and Clinton pretty much owns the women and minority vote by a huge margin. Both of them - in a way, are demagogues. Contrary to popular belief - demagogue does not mean "someone who insults and denounces groups" but "someone who appeals to the prejudices and desires of the people". Trump targets Mexicans and Muslims while Bernie targets the upper class. Their supporters also have disdain for such said groups. They tap into anger of their respective bases, and represent them fairly well, unlike Hillary and the other GOP candidates sans Cruz, who are accused as not being "liberal or conservative enough" or "RINO'S or DINO's" by the base. The average Donald Trump supporter believes that immigrants will destroy America if left unchecked. The average Bernie supporter believes America will be left robbed and pillaged if the upper class and big banks are not taxed and regulated properly. They are also, for the most part, single issue candidates. Trump focuses heavily on immigration while Sanders focuses heavily on income inequality in his speeches. Both are opposed to free trade - they want to end NAFTA completely and bring jobs back to the US; they are both anti-globalization. On a lighter note, both are technically from New York despite Bernie Sanders representing Vermont, and pronounce "huge" as "yuge"

Thread derailed. We need the crane to put the train back on track!

also dyed hair. Not in the usual shades, but in red, pink, blue or any other color. Also tells the politics of an area if they appear.

I tell you people. the Broncos have got to win. Or else we lose come November.

I have Trainz, Rigs of Rods, and FlightGear. Anyone up for grabs? best part about Trainz best part about FlightGear: it's free. Best part about Rigs of Rods is that it's free and you can fly planes in it as well. Limited to transportation simulators,

i have proof. I went to inner city Denver and ate at a buffet there. There was one guy with a some sort of Powerpuff girls shirt and another with a Steven Universe shirt (yellow star against red backround) When I went to the ajacent walmart saw one kid with a pokemon shirt. HAve yet to see that happen here in las vegas.

Attention. We only have one full day until Caucus night in Iowa. On the CNN political prediciton market, Hillary currently has a 55% chance of winning the Hawkeye State.

Atlanta area? Athens? Where?

MARIO SAYS: The war on fire emblem has something to do with How Fire Emblem stands out from other Ninty franchises. For one, it sits on the fence between games and anime.

North Korea is not a communist country. It is a totalitarian dictactorship run by Kim Jong Un, something similar but very different overall from communism. In the most unbiased way possible, Bernie Sanders wants to bring America's politics up to speed with most of Europe.

It would be funny if Bernie Sanders used yet another Garfunkel song in his ads: This song perfectly suits the election

Pokemon shirts? Never expect them to pop up in a red state. Expect to seem them in droves outside of touristy areas in blue states.