Pokemon TCG Mafia

[Kriemhild]

Oh snap, second Mafia confirmed. Hold on, I need to check some things before re-analyzing the previous night...

[Kriemhild]

Okay, we now know that there are two Mafia. I'll just refer to them as Blue and Red then.

First of all, numbers. Since we have two Mafia, they most likely have the same number of people each. 3-4 people each sounds reasonable, with 4-4-11 being a bit Mafia-sided, while 3-3-13 seems a little Town-sided. I eat tables had a convo with Joshaymin about 3-3-13, and with both of them being Mafia (opposite colors though), that's probably what we are dealing with.

Now, about last night, N3. We deduced that Blitzy killed SEG and facepalmed at himself, while Strawman hit Pika. The problem with this theory is that Blue's kill is unaccounted for in both N3 and N2. Blitzy must have shot a Townie beforehand to have died from shooting SEG. It's possible, then, that one of the Mafia tried to shoot someone who was already dying, or was being protected. This may have happened in both N2 AND N3, but it seems more plausible that the two deaths in N2 were caused by two Mafia. And N1, as well. If that were the case, Blitzy must have tried to shoot Pika instead, and Strawman killed SEG while being shot by Blue.

Also, I think Blue might have been responsible for shooting Joshaymin in N1, because Joshaymin's correct prediction of 3-man multi-mafia might have made I eat tables figure out he was Red and have him shot.

[Zkirsche]

Life claimed to be a Survivor Cop, a role that would actually have something to gain by siding with the Town.

What does he have to gain by working with the town? Surely he could help the mafia just as much by identifying the main power roles?

[Kriemhild]

What does he have to gain by working with the town? Surely he could help the mafia just as much by identifying the main power roles?

Indeed. Which is why the Survivor Cop claim was very silly. And so was the Survivor Commuter claim. Aaaaaaaand, both of them were Mafia.

[Wen Yang]

At least we dodged a bullet by offing a mafia tonight.

We're still far from safe though, since I think we're in a spot where a mislynch can bring our doom.

And I doubt my power will ever come into effect again to boot. >_<

[Anouleth]

So there are two mafias. I can only assume that this means that three mafia remain (1 red, 2 blue), and there are 5 towns on the other side.

[Tables]

Aww, day ended earlier than I wanted. Oh well. Good luck One true mafia, you can do it.

[Anouleth]

I think you would have been better off trying to defend your original fakeclaim. Two Bombs is certainly weird, but weirder things have happened.

LIKE NO COP FFFFFFFF

[Jaybee]

LIKE NO COP FFFFFFFF

oops

[Blitz]

Good luck everyone

[Psych]

Okay, we now know that there are two Mafia. I'll just refer to them as Blue and Red then.

First of all, numbers. Since we have two Mafia, they most likely have the same number of people each. 3-4 people each sounds reasonable, with 4-4-11 being a bit Mafia-sided, while 3-3-13 seems a little Town-sided. I eat tables had a convo with Joshaymin about 3-3-13, and with both of them being Mafia (opposite colors though), that's probably what we are dealing with.

Now, about last night, N3. We deduced that Blitzy killed SEG and facepalmed at himself, while Strawman hit Pika. The problem with this theory is that Blue's kill is unaccounted for in both N3 and N2. Blitzy must have shot a Townie beforehand to have died from shooting SEG. It's possible, then, that one of the Mafia tried to shoot someone who was already dying, or was being protected. This may have happened in both N2 AND N3, but it seems more plausible that the two deaths in N2 were caused by two Mafia. And N1, as well. If that were the case, Blitzy must have tried to shoot Pika instead, and Strawman killed SEG while being shot by Blue.

Also, I think Blue might have been responsible for shooting Joshaymin in N1, because Joshaymin's correct prediction of 3-man multi-mafia might have made I eat tables figure out he was Red and have him shot.

Isn't it possible only one mafia killed last night? Usually in games where we have two they kill on opposite nights, Choral mafia, I guess ToA or whatever.

Of course, this is some pretty important meta here.

[Zkirsche]

Isn't it possible only one mafia killed last night? Usually in games where we have two they kill on opposite nights, Choral mafia, I guess ToA or whatever.

That didn't happen in unicycle or mitnala or pokemon legendaries.

[Kriemhild]

Actually, Psych's idea actually makes sense. If the two Mafia had alternating kills, it means only one kill per night was caused by the Mafia, which also explains the number of kills in all the nights. It's definitely a possibility.

[Kay]

Two more Pokemon were found dead: one innocent, one with a heart of malice.

Freohr Datia was:

You are Dialga G

You would normally oppose this tyranny, but you've been brainwashed by the advanced technology of Team Galactic, and stirring up chaos can only help them achieve their goals.

During the night, you may reply to your role PM with "Night X - Halt <USER>'s progress through time". <USER> will be immobilized, and any actions they were attempting to carry out during that phase will fail.

You are allied with the Mafia. You win when all threats to the Mafia are eliminated.

arachnidsGrip was:

You are Azelf

As one of the three Spirit Pokemon, you are determined to do anything to stop this nightmare.

During the night, you may reply to your role PM with "Night X - Look out for who goes near <USER>". You will use your psychic abilities to keep watch around the area <USER> is in, and will learn who used an ability on them during that phase. You cannot target yourself.

You are allied with the Town. You win when all threats to the Town are eliminated.

With only one of their own lost, hope was alive for the Town again.

Begin Day 5. Day 5 ends at 11 PM EST 10/7 / 3 AM GMT 10/8

[Wen Yang]

That night phase went relatively well.

I'm going to assume that BOTH mafs got to kill last night, and one of them killed a rival maf instead.

We have six people remaining. Assuming that the mafias start with equal numbers, that means the current distribution should be either 2-2-2 or 1-1-4.

Well, does anyone have any ideas on who to lynch?

[Freohr Datia]

Why was I right in suspecting that I'd get killed last night?

Awwww Dialga has fallen. ASIODUVNALIUHGAIERU BRAIN WASHING CRAAAAZYYYYY

Weeeellllllllllllllll, nice playing as mafia for once.... No offense town... Feel the need to say that since I've been town so much =b

Buuut woot blue team =] They're blue!

................ Idk but I'm sleepy and in a giddy mood....

[Anouleth]

That night phase went relatively well.

I'm going to assume that BOTH mafs got to kill last night, and one of them killed a rival maf instead.

We have six people remaining. Assuming that the mafias start with equal numbers, that means the current distribution should be either 2-2-2 or 1-1-4.

Well, does anyone have any ideas on who to lynch?

Clearly, it's the second. Otherwise we would have already have lost.

##Vote: Core

I think that I've already discussed the reason for this. I don't see why StSS would have lied about Core being blue.

[Kriemhild]

Oh snap, the two Mafia weren't working together after all. Also, since we have two deaths while the Vig is dead, it disproves the theory about the Mafia killing on alternating nights. So, going back to N3, it seems possible that Strawman killed SEG, Blitzy killed Pika and blew up, while Blue shot Strawman (which makes sense, now that we know they didn't team up).

As for the lynch,

##Vote: TheTinyImp

Strawman claimed to have investigated Corey and found him to be of the Blue Mafia. Now, the only way Strawman could have known about the existence of another Mafia at that point would be if he really DID investigate a blue Mafia, like he claimed he did. And then when you consider the fact that Red and Blue obviously are not cooperating now, there is no reason to think that Strawman wasn't telling the truth.

btw Annie, TheTinyImp subbed in for Corey

[Snike]

##Elect: A Rather Diminutive Imp

so basically we're dealing with two wolves atm.

[Wen Yang]

I see no reason to disagree with the logic presented.

Therefore:

##Vote: Thetinyimp

I Believe we have majority.

[Anouleth]

Oh snap, the two Mafia weren't working together after all. Also, since we have two deaths while the Vig is dead, it disproves the theory about the Mafia killing on alternating nights. So, going back to N3, it seems possible that Strawman killed SEG, Blitzy killed Pika and blew up, while Blue shot Strawman (which makes sense, now that we know they didn't team up).

As for the lynch,

##Vote: TheTinyImp

Strawman claimed to have investigated Corey and found him to be of the Blue Mafia. Now, the only way Strawman could have known about the existence of another Mafia at that point would be if he really DID investigate a blue Mafia, like he claimed he did.

That's not really true. If you're in the mafia, and you have three members in a 19 person game, then that's a pretty strong indicator of a second mafia out there (or the game would be disgustingly imba).

btw Annie, TheTinyImp subbed in for Corey

Noted.

[Zkirsche]

##Vote: The tiny Imp

Baa.

[Kay]

As soon as the sun was up, a mob was already eager for the blood of a newcomer to the group. TheTinyImp didn't have a chance.

TheTinyImp has been lynched. She was:

You are Garchomp C

You are a loyal friend to both the Sinnoh League Champion Cynthia, and to a few of your fellow Pokemon, who have asked you to take their side in this conflict. You were unsure of whether it was a good idea, but the wild Pokemon have already thought up some barbaric plan to kill each other off. Clearly, they must be stopped.

During the night, you may reply to your role PM with "Night X - Remove all damage counters from <USER>". <USER> will be fully healed, and any attempts to kill them during that phase won't do enough damage. You cannot protect yourself.

You are allied with the Mafia. You win when all threats to the Mafia are eliminated.

Begin Night 5. Night 5 ends at 11 PM EST 10/8 / 3 AM GMT 10/9 because I don't like updating this early.

Votals:

TheTinyImp: Anouleth, Kiku-Ichimonji, Snikitty, Kopfjager, Kirsche

[Jotaro Kujo]

Good job guys. I played a terrible game this time because I subbed in with no prior knowledge of what was going on. That's the last time I'm doing that. XD

May the best man win!

[Snike]

Oh dear.

I wonder if it's announced if the faction is eliminated... -_-;