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Makaze

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Everything posted by Makaze

  1. Actually, Baldrick as ITP could work. But I am not going to abandon an Omega ITP world until he flips. It just isn't happening. It makes way too much sense as an ITP role.
  2. lol no, we know they tried to sacrifice him, thats a matter of record. it makes a LOT more sense and is a LOT less clearing in light of the extra power part of his role
  3. I think you could be right, but I think you're not. The mafia did not know that there was a jailer when they would have tried to kill Eclipse, and I strongly suspect that eclipse was the mafia kill, not the SK one. The way things happened makes much more sense to me from the interaction perspective.
  4. I just explained it. They were thinking "We can sacrifice one of our own, gain insane town cred, and gain another power for doing it. gg"
  5. I think you aren't a wolf. Simple as that. You could be only because we don't have a mechanical clear.
  6. Because he doesn't think his claim actually helps. And I agree with him. If he claimed and said "That's his only power" I and every other person casing him would just say "that's not AI, look at the other stuff, I'm not even using his role as the main reason". i.e. his claim wouldn't clear Snike and he made the correct decision, objectively Your argument ignores what Mafia was thinking when they hard bussed athena before finding you.
  7. It's mechanically solved that he's clear. Kaoz jailed him N1, and there was one fewer kills. So either both teams somehow managed to decided that Eury was the best nulltown slot to kill, AND this jail coincidentally happened, or Baldrick is clear. Occam's razor says he's mechanically clear. On top of that, he's just got nothing against him other than eclipse casing bad play, and there's 0 worlds where the scumteam votes eclipse over Junko/Kirsche if eclipse is scum.
  8. My lynch targets are: Kill > Fable / Omega Everyone else is off the table.
  9. I can see a world where it's not Kill as last Mafia, but the sheer incentives for Mafia to kill Kill and gain an unknown super power is astounding. More on this: After all of the saving roles were killed, the Mafia had every reason to kill Kill. However, they couldn't do that if he was Mafia, because it would seriously hurt their team. They also would have known that ITP!Omega would never kill Kill, so it would not lead to kill overlap. They both shot Via because she was 100% consensus town, while I had been casing Refa and would probably continue to do so. Leaving Refa alive would make me dig my own grave from their POV, among many other reasons, such as Refa not having strong convictions. But it can't be: Omega (his role is squarely too strong for a 5-man scumteam with a strongman), Refa (lol), Evan (Bookie reasoning from Refa is sound, plus, I 100% buy that Evan thinks Rolecop always gets SK results, thats normal on other sites), Baldrick (his slot was jailed N1 and survived as a result, meaning 100% confirmed not Mafia or ITP) So that leaves an extremely small pool of: Fable Kill
  10. Why Kill is by far the most likely Mafia (using mechanics alone): Mafia want to hard bus Athena. Why would they pick Athena and not Junko in this case? "Because he has the weakest power" may be tempting, but I strongly believe this is unlikely when even the Mafia do not know what his secondary power would be if the other co-networker surfaced. Mafia would NEVER sacrifice this potentially game changing reveal at the start. So, they knew who both co-networkers were, and they decided to sacrifice one to gain the power on the other. Junko and Shinori pushes cases on them both, and the way they jumped off of the Kirsche wagon makes no sense to me now that I know that killing Kirsche instead would have granted Athena a new power. I think they were expecting a Kirsche lynch swing at the end and were going to save Athena instead afterward. Then there's how Shinori reacted / dropped Athena and addressed Kirsche's claim. Make your own interpretation of whether this looks good or bad for Kill, when a) Shinori knows 100% that killing Kirsche gives Athena a new power, and b) they did not kill Kirsche that night after the claim, or any night after. Timestamps. Posted in this order with one post between. Does this mean anything to you? Shinori says this to Zkirsche. Never follows up on the question. Kirsche never responds, either. Quoting this one because this is the thing that read really scummy to me at the time, caused my Kirsche vote, and still feels off. This is... very bad, IMO.
  11. its ok bro you're still really good and had me waffling multiple times
  12. Because a) he is bluffing and b) he doesn't think a rolecop exists. Also I asked him if he'd be okay with it, then he said go ahead. Not the same thing. He reacted as a townie would, it doesn't mean he would have done it himself.
  13. Straw man. Didn't even pay attention to the extra power spec or try to counter it. Not sure if you were doing this intentionally but your argument actually does apply to Refa, where mafia have other reasons to kill you. Plus, Refa's convictions are paper thin and blow like the wind. I suspected Rolecop. Strongwilled I didn't get. Refa is not anti-town. We can. What do you think of my Kill analysis so far? this is tonally terrible. red sirens blaring. i'm trying not to tunnel and it still bugged me. Now you know. Wrong. Kill entered "provide an alternative" mode.
  14. Whether SK comes up as a role or alignment depends on the host. In a lot of games, Role Cop is the anti-SK, but that doesn't necessarily have to be the case. Refa, you're just plain wrong, IMO on Evan IMO. I'm going to explain why Kill is guilty. Try to consider what you found when you quotewalled him.
  15. Yeah, it's fine. I would rather troll with the flip though.
  16. Once again, they have another power if one of the networkers dies. So it's a bussing incentive and that's why we had two co-networker wagons. I think the timing of Shinori's athena drop and Kirsche's claim are very conspicuous.
  17. How is scum having a bookie with 5 members and town having a single day shot better?
  18. There is a chance that I am wrong, but I don't think I am. Keeping Kill alive for an eventual mislynch opportunity or to keep the network instead of another, better power, is ludicrous.
  19. Also, killing one co-networker if both are town is a sound move for Mafia because it disrupts town control and of reads outside the thread. Athena is smart enough to recognize this and would have been able to make this defense if he killed Kill. "The Mafia killed one of us to make the other look bad, and the kill makes much more sense if both are town." The power grab gives them incentive to bus one of their own and the Mafia have absolutely zero reason not to kill towncleared Kill in this scenario.
  20. Some initial points, before the full case: The Mafia team pushed both co-networkers as lynches D1 and D2. Shinori dropped Athen and immediately shaded on Kirsche over Junko. Kill and Athena have the same extra power grab if their partner dies. They are both Mafia. If they were not, the Mafia would have killed Kill as soon as he was towncleared because they would gain an extra power from it and could very easily argue that they did it to make Athena look bad if he was town. The fact that Kill is still alive is a huge hole in this story.
  21. One of Evan or Kill is Mafia. I believe it is Kill for mechanically sound reasons. The Walrein clear practically hammers it. If you don't get why, I will write a full case on my lunch. For now, Refa has been right about all of his convictions. Trust him on this one too. ##Vote Killthestory
  22. Eh, not really actually. You have a point. It just takes another phase to get to the same number. Fine. You win. ##Vote Athena
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