Athena_57
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Posts posted by Athena_57
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4 minutes ago, XnadrojX said:
Stating a fact isn't a cop out though.
Saying you have a higher than random chance to roll opposing alignments because you were rolling opposing alignments before is a logical fallacy.
Saying you have a lower than random chance to roll opposing alignments because you were rolling opposing alignments before is also logical fallacy.
The laws of probability says that each individual roll is independent of one another, what are you trying to pull here?
Also, you mentioned "a wealth of topics", this is just one topic and is pretty irrelevant to the game state on top of that.
I was joking.
In any case, you've earned yourself a townread. Good job.
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2 minutes ago, XnadrojX said:
I mean this would be game-relevant stuff, but I don't think "tons" is an accurate amount of the game-relevant stuff before my post if you ask me.
Maybe SB just hasn't gotten on yet?
Maybe there is a wealth of topics, but I don't see any. Could you bring some up for me?
I'll gladly bring up topics.
Bartozio and I have been opposing alignments in all 3 games I've played in. Does this mean we have a higher or lower than random chance to roll opposing alignments?
Perhaps this happening 3 times indicates it isn't random, but rather a law of nature and thus it will happen again.
Or perhaps 4 is a large enough number we can reasonably expect the law of large numbers to kick in.
In other words, what is the correct incorrect way of applying probability theory?
Don't say "Just random...", cause that's a cop out.
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14 minutes ago, XnadrojX said:
Oh my god u suck
##Vote Fenrir:P
Bit of a lazy entrance imo. There's tons of game-relevant stuff to talk about.
Like for example, why hasn't SB posted a shitpost? Is it to shield his mentee Bartozio from an untimely RVS death? Is this alignment indicative?
A wealth of topics is available and yet you go for a pun incorporating the game's terminology.
Oh, also I can't help but scumread people who use emoticons. It's an ailment quite common in my family.
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6 hours ago, Fable said:
Can we burn this thread and restart the game?
+1
3 hours ago, Makaze said:MFW the entire cast of the sub game is here.
Wow, rude
2 minutes ago, Junk said:why do you think you should have reads evan? it's only been like 2 pages!
Bad pocket attempt
##Vote: Junk
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@Refa My apologies for doubting your Randa read, you were clearly just smarter than all of us :P
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2 minutes ago, Bartozio said:
gg guys, it was a fun game.
And more importantly, the greatest Dutchman won!
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Now we can think about important questions, like, do we wait for JB's sub to arrive for a free win for them?
Answer: lol, no
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##Vote: Orihime
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@Orihime What if SB roleblocked me?
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2 minutes ago, Conqueror said:
@athena_57Why did you choose me for the shot restorer?
You, Shinori and Baldrick were my town reads at that point. This was just after the RAD lynch where I redid my reads, reread the game and started panicking Shinori and/or Baldrick were pocketing me by defending me against SB
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4 minutes ago, Shinori said:
I'm pretty sure Athena said he was redirected and then failed. I'll check ISO.
If I did, I misread/miswrote. I was redirected AND failed, no order was given.
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@Conqueror @Jaybee Refas role is proven, I got a message saying I had 10 posts D4
This was retracted after Marth realized it shouldve failed.
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So... Hammer time?
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Ignoring scumrole-shenanigans, I think it's failproof besides that.
And yeah, it's not really 67% assuming we're better at solving than dice. (Which is very optimistic :P)
Also, do we know whether Orihime's role is infinite use? Did we hear something about that?
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Did I just help scum... Fuck me. -
So N5 Ori dies, KTS's cop is gone.
D6 we lynch KTS/Refa/Conq 33% to hit scum
N6 one of Shin/JB/me dies
D7 we're with 2 confirmed townies and 2 others and have 50/50?
So this is a 67% chance of success. (Assuming random lynching)
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I haven't properly thought over this scenario yet though, maybe I'm missing something.
That's the only thing I can find.
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@Shinori What happens when town!Ori gets killed tonight? We have Refa/Conq/KTS leftover with 2 lynches, right?
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@Refa Regarding my role + inventor, it depends on the wording of the inventor, so having JB ask the mods whether a shot-restorer works on his role gives a more conclusive answer than having me do it.
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2 minutes ago, Shinori said:
*YLO is automatically democracy.
So no matter what we should all just vote democracy tonight.
Oh yeah, whoops. you're right
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On the other hand, assuming Refa lives (likely, if he dies then PoE pool is smaller so whatever), anarchy two days from now is not really a problem considering the alive people/extra posts ratio. So maybe we just want democracy tomorrow either way
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Perhaps it would be good to coordinate anarchy/democracy votes here? I'd say we want democracy in *YLO for sure, so if we lynch scum we vote anarchy so we have democracy the day after, if we lynch town we vote democracy?
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51 minutes ago, Jaybee said:
rip jan mayor
Good times. I prefered the visit to the person asking for a watcher though.
38 minutes ago, Refa said:@athena_57 Do you know how your role interacts with Inventors? Would you be able to restore them as well?
I doubt it, but ill ask. I restore PP and return x-shots to original amount. Why does this matter though? Im actually hoping it doesnt work, otherwise Ill feel even worse about wasting it...
##Vote: Baldrick
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38 minutes ago, Orihime said:
Unless Athena picked Shin as a target
Uh what?
I am a 1-shot shot restorer, 1-shot commuter. I used restore on N2 on Conq as I was sort of panicking and thinking I would be a lynch candidate D3 and wanted a provable claim. (This was obviously pretty dumb in retrospect)
I used commute on N3 obviously
Also since enough people are planning on this fsr, I already used my roleblock item on kill last night.
Marth cannot answer the question about priorities
Training Mafia 3.0: Advanced - GAMEOVER
in Mafia
Posted
Hm, I bring up the possible alignment indicativeness of shitposting mentors and quite soon afterwards Conq pops in. :thinking: